The holiday is quickly approaching, and you might be wondering if we’ll have a white Christmas!

Based on historical climate data from 1990-2020, the tri-state area has a wide range of a 5% to 40% chance of seeing a white Christmas on a given year depending on where you are.

The majority of the tri-state area has a 10-20% chance. Higher elevations north and west in the mid-Hudson Valley, far northwestern New Jersey and Litchfield County in Connecticut have some of the highest chances based on years past.

A white Christmas is officially defined as 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day. This can be either snow that falls on Christmas or snow that fell prior to Christmas that still remains on the ground.

Central Park, New York saw its last white Christmas in 2024 with 1 inch of snow on the ground.

White Plains, New York saw its last white Christmas in 2024 with 1 inch of snow on the ground.

Islip, New York saw its last white Christmas in 2013 with 1 inch of snow on the ground.

Bridgeport, Connecticut, saw its last white Christmas in 2009 with 5 inches of snow on the ground.

Newark, New Jersey, saw its last white Christmas in 2009 with 4 inches of snow on the ground.

Bone-chilling arctic cold and even a few flurries have already greeted us throughout the month to get us in the holiday spirit, so don’t lose hope yet if you want a white Christmas - the holiday is still a few weeks away.