University of Washington model predicts 160,000 more Americans could die from COVID-19 by February

The modeling group at the University of Washington says if 95% of Americans wore masks in public, more than 100,000 lives could be saved through February.

News 12 Staff

Oct 24, 2020, 2:52 PM

Updated 1,371 days ago

Share:

An influential modeling group at the University of Washington predicts that about 160,000 more Americans could die from COVID-19 by Feb. 1.
This comes as the U.S. set a new daily record Friday, with more than 70,000 new cases reported – the highest daily count in months.
As well, 32 states are trending up in reporting new cases, and 12 states have just seen their highest seven-day averages of new cases.
Infectious disease expert Dr. Celine Gounder says, "People are just tired. They're tired of months of mask-wearing and social distancing. They're letting down their guard. And unfortunately, the coronavirus is not done with us yet, even if we are done with the coronavirus. So we really do need to double-down on the basic measures. Mask-wearing is number one, number two, number three."
The modeling group at the University of Washington says if 95% of Americans wore masks in public, more than 100,000 lives could be saved through February.
Dr. Francis Collins, the head of the National Institutes of Health, says a vaccine won't be the magic bullet if enough people don't get it.
"I've been talking so optimistically about how we are likely to have a vaccine by the end of the year, but if only 50% of Americans are interested in taking it, we're never going to get to that point of immunity across the population where this COVID-19 goes away. It could be here for years," he says.
There are currently vastly different approaches to mask wearing across the country.
New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell says anyone not wearing a mask in her city could get a $500 ticket.
However, the governor in South Dakota tweeted that the government should not mandate mask wearing.
"Those who don't want to wear a mask shouldn't be shamed into it," she says. "We need to respect each other's decisions."
In Colorado, a federal judge has sided with two churches who sued, ruling that the churches don't have to limit their indoor capacity, and don't have to require parishioners to wear masks.
This goes squarely against Colorado's COVID-19 rules.
"I find that somewhat confounding,” says Dr. Gounder. “To the best of my knowledge, there is no religion in the world that does not put human life as the number one priority, the number one value."
Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus task force coordinator, says she fears cases are spreading in private gatherings, and that Americans are letting their guard down in small get-togethers at home.


More from News 12
1:52
Hudson Valley doctors warn of listeria dangers following multi-state outbreak

Hudson Valley doctors warn of listeria dangers following multi-state outbreak

2:04
Sunny skies and warm temps for Saturday in the Hudson Valley

Sunny skies and warm temps for Saturday in the Hudson Valley

0:38
Multimillion-dollar transformation on the way for sections of Hudson Valley

Multimillion-dollar transformation on the way for sections of Hudson Valley

0:49
New basketball documentary film 'The Process' has ties to Westchester

New basketball documentary film 'The Process' has ties to Westchester

0:49
Olympic watch party in Pomona cheers on Rockland athletes

Olympic watch party in Pomona cheers on Rockland athletes

0:32
Veteran firefighter who suffered stroke receives warm welcome home

Veteran firefighter who suffered stroke receives warm welcome home

0:17
Yorktown police sergeant celebrates final walkout following 2 decades of service

Yorktown police sergeant celebrates final walkout following 2 decades of service

1:40
Lithium-ion battery fire blamed for closure of Newburgh tailor shop

Lithium-ion battery fire blamed for closure of Newburgh tailor shop

0:52
Slate Hill family of 5 loses home in afternoon blaze

Slate Hill family of 5 loses home in afternoon blaze

0:37
2 people charged in Middletown narcotics; firearms bust

2 people charged in Middletown narcotics; firearms bust

1:30
Motorcycle, van crash in Greenburgh causes serious injuries

Motorcycle, van crash in Greenburgh causes serious injuries

0:56
News 12 probes mystery cloud traced to Orange County & seen throughout tri-state area

News 12 probes mystery cloud traced to Orange County & seen throughout tri-state area

1:02
Hillcrest Fire Department receives 2,000 cans of drinking water, courtesy of Anheuser-Busch

Hillcrest Fire Department receives 2,000 cans of drinking water, courtesy of Anheuser-Busch

1:37
Storm Watch Team Meteorologist Skyler Harman strikes down lightning myths

Storm Watch Team Meteorologist Skyler Harman strikes down lightning myths

2:33
Can swimming become dangerous due to extremely high water surface temperatures?

Can swimming become dangerous due to extremely high water surface temperatures?

0:32
NYC officials: Westchester caseworker’s death ruled a homicide

NYC officials: Westchester caseworker’s death ruled a homicide

0:40
State, federal lawmakers introduce legislation to shorten funding gap for World Trade Center Health Program

State, federal lawmakers introduce legislation to shorten funding gap for World Trade Center Health Program

0:34
Ex Frito-Lay employee files defamation lawsuit against PepsiCo claiming he invented ‘Flamin’ Hot Cheetos

Ex Frito-Lay employee files defamation lawsuit against PepsiCo claiming he invented ‘Flamin’ Hot Cheetos

0:40
Executive orders still in place preventing Rockland County and Orange County hotels from converting into migrant shelters

Executive orders still in place preventing Rockland County and Orange County hotels from converting into migrant shelters

0:34
Finger in salad lawsuit against Chop’t discontinued

Finger in salad lawsuit against Chop’t discontinued